This season, SB Nation has partnered with FanDuel to give you a variety of articles and opinions on sports betting through the FanDuel platform. Last season, I offered 3 play prop/side market choices and picked one I would bet on at the end of the article. This season, we will focus purely on the ever-growing player prop markets and offer insight and analysis on 3 picks I like and pick one at the end to put $50 on. Over the course of the season, we’ll track the wins and losses of my final pick and see if we can finish in the profit.
The Colts are back at home this week as they play the Tua-less Miami Dolphins. They are currently 3 point favourites.
Player Prop 1: Trey Sermon Anytime TD (+105)
Sermon will probably split reps with Goodson, but he will get the goal-line carries. On top of that, he has 31 carries in the last two weeks, so if the Colts take the lead and decide to run the ball a lot, then that means Sermon will get a lot of carries and chances to score.
Player Prop 2: Anthony Richardson Under 32.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
This is more of a speculation play, but I believe Richardson won’t want to run as much this week. With him missing two games due to his hip injury, which came because of him running, I can see him being a lot more cautious. If he rushes only a few times, he won’t hit this number, so if you feel a bit risky and believe Richardson won’t rush because of his injury, then this is value.
Player Prop 3: Michael Pittman Jr Under 4.5 Receptions (-125)
Pittman has only surpassed 5 or more receptions once this season and he wasn’t on the same page as Richardson early in the season. Pittman is still injured, in fact he probably shouldn’t be playing as he was initially expected to be miss a few weeks after Week 5. Nevertheless, considering his usage rate, his chemistry with Richardson, plus Richardson’s current inaccuracy issues, I can’t see Pittman getting more than 4 catches.
My Pick: Michael Pittman Jr Under 4.5 Receptions (-125)
It feels weird rooting against a Colts player, but winning cures all weird feelings.
We won our 4th bet in a row last week (Levis Over 0.5 Interceptions) bringing us to 4-2 on the year, and we are up $68 through 6 weeks.